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The impact of path dependency and elderly care on sustainable economic growth and employment in north of Spain

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to estimate the economic impact of the public expenditure on long-term care of dependent people (including elderly and disabled) and considering both residential and day-care centres. The authors individually collected data from each of the 68 centres analysed in a region in the North of Spain. The economic impact is measured using Leontief methodology in terms of employment, production, revenues from social security contributions and tax revenues via the Value Added Tax (VAT), Personal Income Tax (IRPF) and Corporate Tax. The results indicate that an investment of one million euros generates more than 30 jobs. The production multiplier is near two and the return rate by taxes and social security contributions that the Administration get is near 60 for each 100 euros invested. The findings are especially relevant given the need for governments to promote economic growth and help social policy decision-making in a context in which aging population and the increased need for social services compel governments to allocate a growing amount of financial resources to dependency care. This expenditure in long- term care of dependent people is an excellent investment opportunity with a huge ability to generate employment and wealth. The results indicate that, per invested million euros, more than 30 jobs are created. The production multiplier is near 2, and the return rate by taxes and social security contributions that the Administration get is near 60 for each 100 euros invested. The findings are especially relevant given the need for governments to promote economic growth and help social policy decision-making in a context in which aging population and the increased need for social services compel governments to allocate a growing amount of financial resources to dependency care. This expenditure in long- term care of dependent people is an excellent investment opportunity with a huge ability to generate employment and wealth.

 Authorship: Díaz B.D., García-Ramos R., López Gutiérrez C.,

 Fuente: UCJC Business and Society Review, 2025, 22(85), 134-179

 Publisher: Universidad Camilo José Cela

 Publication date: 01/06/2025

 No. of pages: 46

 Publication type: Article

 DOI: 10.3232/UBR.2025.V22.N2.04

 ISSN: 2659-3270

 Publication Url: https://doi.org/10.3232/UBR.2025.V22.N2.04