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An increasing trend of landslides as a consequence of the global change

Abstract: A study is presented on the trend of temporal variation in landslide activity for the last decades in a context of global change, with an intensification of human activity and a changing climate. Different existing databases are reviewed and the limitations to provide sound information on the temporal trends in landslides occurrence are explored and discussed. We also analyze data from the EM-DAT database on disasters in the 1960-2020 time window, applying two different procedures: correction of frequencies of disasters using a magnitude (fatalities) and application of a nonparametric regression technique (the kernel regression) to analyze the ratio between landslide disasters and disasters of other types. Both methods show an increase in the number of disasters in the last 60 years, with a stabilization or possible reduction in the last 2-3 decades. Landslide disasters are growing relatively more than seismic disasters, which may be related to the manifestation of global change on the Earth's surface. Similarly, since the 1990s, purely climatic disasters have been growing relatively more than landslide disasters.

 Authorship: Remondo J., Sánchez-Díaz M., Cuesta-Albertos J.A.,

 Fuente: Earth Systems and Environment, 2026, 10(2), 1461-1474

 Publisher: Springer Nature

 Publication date: 01/04/2026

 No. of pages: 14

 Publication type: Article

 DOI: 10.1007/s41748-025-00685-0

 ISSN: 2509-9426,2509-9434

 Spanish project: CGL2017-82703-R

 Publication Url: https://doi.org/10.1007/s41748-025-00685-0

Authorship

MARIA SANCHEZ DIAZ

JUAN ANTONIO CUESTA ALBERTOS