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Abstract: This work presents a behavioural model based on discrete choice models (DCMs) in order to simulate
decision maker behaviour during an emergency situation. The proposed model is a probabilistic exit
choice model that allows understanding the heterogeneity of the different decision maker’s tastes. A stated
preference survey was designed and realized with a sample of decision makers in order to achieve
this objective. Thus, the obtained data was used to model the optimal mixed logit model. The use of DCMs
allows to know the behaviour of different decision maker types during an evacuation process. The case
study highlights the importance of the influence of other decision makers on the decision-making process.
This work could be used as the starting point in the development of behavioural models which could
be implemented in the current tools for the simulation of emergency evacuation.
Fuente: Safety Science Volume 62, February 2014, Pages 418–426
Fecha de publicación: 25/10/2014
Nº de páginas: 8
Tipo de publicación: Artículo de Revista
ANGEL IBEAS PORTILLA