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Abstract: Coastal flood damage is primarily the result of extreme sea levels. Climate change is expected to drive an increase in these extremes. While proper estimation of changes in storm surges is essential to estimate changes in extreme sea levels, there remains low confidence in future trends of surge contribution to extreme sea levels. Alerting local populations of imminent extreme sea levels is also critical to protecting coastal populations. Both predicting and projecting extreme sea levels require reliable numerical prediction systems. The SurgeMIP (surge model intercomparison) community has been established to tackle such challenges. Efforts to intercompare storm surge prediction systems and coordinate the community's prediction and projection efforts are introduced. An overview of past and recent advances in storm surge science such as physical processes to consider and the recent development of global forecasting systems are briefly introduced. Selected historical events and drivers behind fast increasing service and knowledge requirements for emergency response to adaptation considerations are also discussed. The community's initial plans and recent progress are introduced. These include the establishment of an intercomparison project, the identification of research and development gaps, and the introduction of efforts to coordinate projections that span multiple climate scenarios
Fuente: Weather and Climate Extremes, 2024, 45, 100689
Editorial: Elsevier B.V.
Fecha de publicación: 01/09/2024
Nº de páginas: 11
Tipo de publicación: Artículo de Revista
DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100689
ISSN: 2212-0947
Url de la publicación: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100689
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Repositorio UCrea Leer publicación
BERNIER, NATACHA B.
HEMER, MARK
MORI, NOBUHITO
APPENDINI, CHRISTIAN M.
BREIVIK, OYVIND
CAMARGO, RICARDO DE
CASAS-PRAT, MERCÈ
DUONG, TRANG M.
IVAN HAIGH
HOWARD, TOM
HERNAMAN, VANESSA
HUIZY, OLEKSANDR
IRISH, JENNIFER L.
KIREZCI, EBRU
KOHNO, NADAO
LEE, JUN-WHAN
MCINNES, KATHLEEN L.
MEYER, ELKE M.I.
MELISA MENENDEZ GARCIA
MOGHIMI, SAEED
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