Buscar

Estamos realizando la búsqueda. Por favor, espere...

Storm surges and extreme sea levels: review, establishment of model intercomparison and coordination of surge climate projection efforts (SurgeMIP)

Abstract: Coastal flood damage is primarily the result of extreme sea levels. Climate change is expected to drive an increase in these extremes. While proper estimation of changes in storm surges is essential to estimate changes in extreme sea levels, there remains low confidence in future trends of surge contribution to extreme sea levels. Alerting local populations of imminent extreme sea levels is also critical to protecting coastal populations. Both predicting and projecting extreme sea levels require reliable numerical prediction systems. The SurgeMIP (surge model intercomparison) community has been established to tackle such challenges. Efforts to intercompare storm surge prediction systems and coordinate the community's prediction and projection efforts are introduced. An overview of past and recent advances in storm surge science such as physical processes to consider and the recent development of global forecasting systems are briefly introduced. Selected historical events and drivers behind fast increasing service and knowledge requirements for emergency response to adaptation considerations are also discussed. The community's initial plans and recent progress are introduced. These include the establishment of an intercomparison project, the identification of research and development gaps, and the introduction of efforts to coordinate projections that span multiple climate scenarios

 Fuente: Weather and Climate Extremes, 2024, 45, 100689

 Editorial: Elsevier B.V.

 Fecha de publicación: 01/09/2024

 Nº de páginas: 11

 Tipo de publicación: Artículo de Revista

 DOI: 10.1016/j.wace.2024.100689

 ISSN: 2212-0947

 Url de la publicación: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wace.2024.100689

Autoría

BERNIER, NATACHA B.

HEMER, MARK

MORI, NOBUHITO

APPENDINI, CHRISTIAN M.

BREIVIK, OYVIND

CAMARGO, RICARDO DE

CASAS-PRAT, MERCÈ

DUONG, TRANG M.

IVAN HAIGH

HOWARD, TOM

HERNAMAN, VANESSA

HUIZY, OLEKSANDR

IRISH, JENNIFER L.

KIREZCI, EBRU

KOHNO, NADAO

LEE, JUN-WHAN

MCINNES, KATHLEEN L.

MEYER, ELKE M.I.

MOGHIMI, SAEED