Abstract: Background & Aims: Current knowledge of the natural history of patients with porto-sinusoidal vascular disorder (PSVD) is derived from small studies. The aim of the present study was to determine the natural history of PSVD and prognostic factors in a large multicenter cohort of patients.
Methods: We performed a retrospective study on patients with PSVD and signs of portal hypertension (PH) prospectively registered in 27 centers.
Results: A total of 587 patients were included, median age of 47 years and 38% were women. Four-hundred and one patients had an associated condition, which was graded as severe in 157. Median follow-up was 68 months. At diagnosis, 64% of patients were asymptomatic while 36% had a PH-related complication: PH-related bleeding in 112 patients, ascites in 117, and hepatic encephalopathy in 11. In those not presenting with bleeding, the incidence of first bleeding was 15% at 5 years, with a 5-year rebleeding rate of 18%. The 5-year cumulative incidence of new or worsening ascites was 18% and of developing portal vein thrombosis was 16%. Fifty (8.5%) patients received a liver transplantation and 109 (19%) died, including 55 non-liver-related deaths. Transplant-free survival was 97% and 83% at 1 and 5 years, respectively. Variables independently associated with transplant-free survival were age, ascites, serum bilirubin, albumin and creatinine levels at diagnosis and severe associated conditions. This allowed for the creation of a nomogram that accurately predicted prognosis.
Conclusions: The prognosis of PSVD is strongly determined by the severity of the associated underlying conditions and parameters of liver and renal function.
