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The emerging human fingerprint on global extreme fire weather

Abstract: Extreme fire weather (hot, dry, and windy conditions) has intensified globally, yet formally attributing this trend to anthropogenic climate change remains challenging. Here, we analyze global trends in extreme fire weather days (FWI95d, annual count of days with Fire Weather Index above the 95th percentile) over 1980-2023, using climate model ensembles, observational data, and fingerprint detection techniques. We find that the observed increase in extreme fire weather bears a clear externally forced signal, detectable at 99% confidence above natural variability and attributable to human-induced climate change. This emerging human-induced fingerprint on extreme fire weather highlights a benchmark for climate science and underscores the urgency of integrating these insights into wildfire risk management and adaptation strategies.

 Autoría: Turco M., Moreno A., Garnés-Morales G., Torres-Vázquez M.Á., Giuseppe F.D., Bedia J., Herrera S., Provenzale A., Abatzoglou J.T.,

 Fuente: Science Advances, 2026, 12(11), eadx9845

 Editorial: American Association for the Advancement of Science

 Fecha de publicación: 11/03/2026

 Nº de páginas: 9

 Tipo de publicación: Artículo de Revista

 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.adx9845

 ISSN: 2375-2548

 Proyecto español: PID2021-123193OB-100

 Url de la publicación: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adx9845

Autoría

TURCO, MARCO

MORENO TORREIRA, ALBERTO

GARNÉS MORALES, GINÉS

TORRES VÁZQUEZ, MIGUEL ÁNGEL

DI GIUSEPPE, FRANCESCA

PROVENZALE, ANTONELLO

ABATZOGLOU, JOHN T.